Question of plausibility in Small Rain.

MalignD at aol.com MalignD at aol.com
Sun Dec 1 15:49:32 CST 2002


In a message dated 12/1/02 12:45:25 AM, fqmorris at yahoo.com writes:

<< There are constant half-hour-by-half-hour predictions as the storm
wobbles, speeds up, stalls, backs up, etc.  It is best under these
circumstances to evacuate sooner rather than later, but we're never sure 
what's
the best advice to believe.  And this  situation would have been only less
informed back in the 50's, and history of disasters would have been less
compiled.  The "worst case scenario" for New Orleans is extremely dire, and
we've been lucky so far. >>

It sounds then, that not knowing about a hurricane a full day after it 
destroyed a town would be unlikely. 

The other part of my question has to do with the weather, whether a mere 
ninety miles north, there would be no wind and rain.  (I know you're not a 
meteorologist (actually I don't know that.)) 

Storms can come on quickly, certainly.  I just doubt the total ignorance so 
nearby, a day after.  Still seems to me implausible.



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