"But the world isn't like that"

[Terrance]

> >
> > Bush has congressional support. He will get the support of the UN. He
> > will build a coalition. He will wage war on Iraq. These are only my
> > predictions.
> >
> 
> Much Iraqui, American, British and Australian blood will be spilled if it
> happens.

Too much. 


> 
> Being critical of George W. Bush (like Arne is) is no anti-Americanism. Like
> being critical of Israel for violating human rights and UN-resolutions is
> not anti-Semitism.

Yes, you are correct. I certainly mean to suggest that being critical of
Bush is anti-American in this sense. 



> 
> We're not involved in the oil business and Bush won't get a coalition
> because the US hasn't been attacked by terrorists this time.

Disagree on both. Germany is very much involved in the oil business. A
different sort of involvement than say, the USA's involvement or Iraq's,
for sure, but not too unlike Japan's. 

And the USA was not attacked by terrorists when GHW Bush formed his
coalition. Take a close look at the coalition GHB Bush built.  Who paid
for the war? Who stayed out of it at the USA's request. Who sent troops?
Arms? Oil? Ships? Who kept quite. Who voted in favor of UN resolutions
and cut deals? 

A coalition is being built. Bush will have his coalition, even if most
parties privately and reluctantly acquiesce while protesting publicly. 

But, since Iraq has not invaded Kuwait and is not now threatening to
take control of a good percentage of ME oil the issues are different.
And, while GHW Bush also tried to change the government in Iraq, he did
not announce that this was his objective when he formed his coalition.
In fact, he assured the members of the coalition, particularly the Arab
states that he had no intentions of occupying Iraq. GW Bush plans to
occupy Iraq, take control of Iraq's oil, put a government in place.
Won't be easy to build a coalition around those stated objectives. But,
he will get enough of a coalition to make his bloody war. 



> 
> Russia has no interest in a new Iraqui government, France no interest in a
> new war and the Germans simply won't participate because they've learned
> that a pre-emptive war is no answer.

All parties have very complex and conflicting interests. Including
Germany, France, Russia. 


> 
> Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Egypt and others will leave the anti-terror
> coalition.

This is all speculation, but my guess is that the anti-terrorism
coalition will provide cover for the Iraq war coalition  Bush will form. 


> 
> Mr. Bush has to go to war with others this time, but illegally and against
> the majority of the UN. The current blackmailing is a very dangerous course.
> In my opinion it's time to cancel the veto-right of the five permanent
> members of the security council.

I doubt that canceling the veto powers is a safer Course of action. 



> 
> This is pro-Americanism. I love America, I'm grateful for getting rid of the
> nazis, feeding the starving European population, for implementing
> parliamentary democracy over here after WW II, for Rock'n Roll, free speech
> and all the other positive things.

And don't forget California Boys. 
I wish they all could be California Boys. 
Wish they all could be California.