I personally "like'
Thomas Eckhardt
thomas.eckhardt at uni-bonn.de
Thu Jan 12 02:06:16 CST 2017
On Wed, 11 Jan 2017 08:10:26 -0500
Mark Kohut <mark.kohut at gmail.com> wrote:
> how over just a few days, the fact that Russia hacked
> into the DNC and did stuff to *try* to influence the US
>election
> is now an accepted historical truth, it seems, even on
>the Plist...
> Beliefs *can* change when reality bites.
>
> Raise your hands if you don't believe that or simply
>delete.
Facts are but the Play-things of spin doctors and unnamed
intelligence officials.
I prefer primary sources to Twitter feeds.
From Annex B of the report 'Background to Assessing
Russian Activities and Intentions in Recent US Elections:
The Analytic Process and Cyber Incident Attribution', page
13:
"Estimative Language
Estimative language consists of two elements: judgments
about the likelihood of developments or events occurring
and levels of confidence in the sources and analytic
reasoning supporting the judgments. Judgments are not
intended to imply that we have proof that shows something
to be a fact. Assessments are based on collected
information, which is often incomplete or fragmentary, was
well as logic, argumentation, and precedents.
https://www.dni.gov/files/documents/ICA_2017_01.pdf
Read that Rumsfeldian sentence again:
"Judgments are not intended to imply that we have proof
that shows something to be a fact."
Still, many treat the report as proof that Russia hacked
the DNC. As was intended by its authors.
Me, I prefer to stay a member of the reality-based
community.
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