NP - Is the Worst Past?

David Morris fqmorris at gmail.com
Thu Sep 23 04:14:48 UTC 2021


https://m.dailykos.com/stories/2021/9/22/2053779/-America-may-be-past-the-peak-of-the-delta-wave-but-where-we-go-now-depends-on-making-good-decisions

Taking into account both the possibility of childhood vaccinations being
available sometime in the next two months, and anticipating that no “super
variant” that is more contagious than delta and able to resist current
vaccines appears, the COVID Scenario Modeling Hub
<https://covid19scenariomodelinghub.org/viz.html> (CSMH) projects that
cases in the United States are at the start of a steep decline. Their
models suggest that by the end of the year the United States could be back
to a point roughly where it was when the delta wave began, and by the
beginning of spring 2022, cases could be well below 10,000 a day.

That’s not “back to normal,” but it’s much better than where we are today.


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