(np) The Future of Jihadism in Europe

John Bailey sundayjb at gmail.com
Thu Dec 22 03:30:58 CST 2016


"economically underperforming Muslim youth"
"available jihadi entrepreneurs"
"operational freedom for clandestine actors"
Is there any novelist satirising the language of professional
neoliberal terrorism commentary today? We're in old DeLillo territory
here. But writing on terrorism is increasingly framed in economic
terms, as is most well-shared writing online.

On Thu, Dec 22, 2016 at 8:09 PM, Kai Frederik Lorentzen
<lorentzen at hotmail.de> wrote:
>
> Thomas Hegghammer:
>
>> ... If the jihadi radicalization problem in Europe does indeed get worse,
>> it may be worth considering radical new approaches, both of the soft and the
>> hard kind ... <
>
> http://www.terrorismanalysts.com/pt/index.php/pot/article/view/566/html
>
> This article presents a ten-year forecast for jihadism in Europe. Despite
> reaching historically high levels in recent years, violent Islamist activity
> in Europe may increase further over the long term due to four macro-trends:
> 1) expected growth in the number of economically underperforming Muslim
> youth, 2) expected growth in the number of available jihadi entrepreneurs,
> 3) persistent conflict in the Muslim world, and 4) continued operational
> freedom for clandestine actors on the Internet. Over the next decade, the
> jihadi attack plot frequency in Europe may follow a fluctuating curve with
> progressively higher peaks. Many things can undercut the trends and lead to
> a less ominous outcome, but the scenario is sufficiently likely to merit
> attention from policymakers.
>
>
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