Impeachment Briefing: The House prepares to vote

David Morris fqmorris at gmail.com
Wed Jan 13 07:07:53 UTC 2021 

>
> Momentum is building among Republicans to impeach Trump.
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>
> January 12, 2021
>
> By Noah Weiland
>
> Welcome back to the Impeachment Briefing. The House will call on Vice
> President Mike Pence to invoke the 25th Amendment, as momentum builds
> among Republicans
> <https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/RaOMUv8YWHP03vd9_naGUg~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRh4Mt2P0TqaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vbGl2ZS8yMDIxLzAxLzEyL3VzL2ltcGVhY2htZW50LXRydW1wLTI1dGgtYW1lbmRtZW50P2NhbXBhaWduX2lkPTE0MCZlbWM9ZWRpdF9pYl8yMDIxMDExMyZpbnN0YW5jZV9pZD0yNTk0MiZubD1pbXBlYWNobWVudC1icmllZmluZyZyZWdpX2lkPTYxODY5MDE1JnNlZ21lbnRfaWQ9NDkxMjcmdGU9MSZ1c2VyX2lkPTQ4Yzc1N2RmMWQ5NjE2YjExNDIwOTYzZjBhOGZiNGRjVwNueXRCCl_9dkb-X8EKFtpSEmZxbW9ycmlzQGdtYWlsLmNvbVgEAAAAAA~~>
> to impeach President Trump.
> What happened today
>
>    - The House is poised to pass a resolution late tonight formally
>    calling on Vice President Mike Pence to strip President Trump of his duties
>    by invoking the 25th Amendment, a complicated and difficult process
>    <https://nl.nytimes.com/f/newsletter/cCyYFcKoe9Aoefu4oBi8_A~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRh4Mt2P4QCAWh0dHBzOi8vd3d3Lm55dGltZXMuY29tLzIwMjEvMDEvMDcvdXMvcG9saXRpY3Mvd2hhdC1pcy10aGUtMjV0aC1hbWVuZG1lbnQtYW5kLWhvdy1kb2VzLWl0LXdvcmsuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0xNDAmZW1jPWVkaXRfaWJfMjAyMTAxMTMmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MjU5NDImbmw9aW1wZWFjaG1lbnQtYnJpZWZpbmcmcmVnaV9pZD02MTg2OTAxNSZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTQ5MTI3JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD00OGM3NTdkZjFkOTYxNmIxMTQyMDk2M2YwYThmYjRkY1cDbnl0Qgpf_XZG_l_BChbaUhJmcW1vcnJpc0BnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~>.
>    The measure asks the vice president to declare Mr. Trump “incapable of
>    executing the duties of his office and to immediately exercise powers as
>    acting president.”
>    - Mr. Pence is unlikely to do so, and Democrats plan to begin a debate
>    on their impeachment resolution tomorrow morning, marching toward a vote
>    late in the day unless Mr. Pence intervenes.
>    - Senator Mitch McConnell, the Republican leader, has told associates
>    that he believes Mr. Trump committed impeachable offenses
>    <https://nl.nytimes.com/f/newsletter/Y8y2t7DHURSgiH7R_KKvYg~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRh4Mt2P0TraHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMS8wMS8xMi91cy9taXRjaC1tY2Nvbm5lbGwtdHJ1bXAtaW1wZWFjaG1lbnQuaHRtbD9jYW1wYWlnbl9pZD0xNDAmZW1jPWVkaXRfaWJfMjAyMTAxMTMmaW5zdGFuY2VfaWQ9MjU5NDImbmw9aW1wZWFjaG1lbnQtYnJpZWZpbmcmcmVnaV9pZD02MTg2OTAxNSZzZWdtZW50X2lkPTQ5MTI3JnRlPTEmdXNlcl9pZD00OGM3NTdkZjFkOTYxNmIxMTQyMDk2M2YwYThmYjRkY1cDbnl0Qgpf_XZG_l_BChbaUhJmcW1vcnJpc0BnbWFpbC5jb21YBAAAAAA~>.
>    He also said that he was pleased that Democrats were moving to impeach him,
>    believing that it would make it easier to purge him from the party,
>    according to people familiar with his thinking.
>    - At least three Republicans in the House have already announced they
>    would vote to impeach Mr. Trump. “The president of the United States
>    summoned this mob, assembled the mob, and lit the flame of this attack,”
>    one of those Republicans, Representative Liz Cheney, said. “There has never
>    been a greater betrayal by a president of the United States of his office
>    and his oath to the Constitution.”
>    - Advisers to Mr. McConnell have privately speculated that a dozen
>    Republican senators — and possibly more — could ultimately vote to convict
>    the president in a Senate trial. To find Mr. Trump guilty, 17 Republicans
>    would need to join Democrats in voting against him.
>    - Far from contrite, Mr. Trump said on Tuesday that his remarks to a
>    rally before the Capitol riot last week were “totally appropriate.” Mr.
>    Trump also suggested that “danger” could follow the Democrats’ decision to
>    impeach him a second time.
>    - In a lengthy report
>    <https://nl.nytimes.com/f/a/M74HhzBdAHiEIlvZhAfHtQ~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRh4Mt2P4QSAWh0dHBzOi8vanVkaWNpYXJ5LmhvdXNlLmdvdi91cGxvYWRlZGZpbGVzL2hvdXNlX2p1ZGljaWFyeV9jb21taXR0ZWVfcmVwb3J0Xy1fbWF0ZXJpYWxzX2luX3N1cHBvcnRfb2ZfaC5fcmVzLl8yNC5wZGY_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MTQwJmVtYz1lZGl0X2liXzIwMjEwMTEzJmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTI1OTQyJm5sPWltcGVhY2htZW50LWJyaWVmaW5nJnJlZ2lfaWQ9NjE4NjkwMTUmc2VnbWVudF9pZD00OTEyNyZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9NDhjNzU3ZGYxZDk2MTZiMTE0MjA5NjNmMGE4ZmI0ZGNXA255dEIKX_12Rv5fwQoW2lISZnFtb3JyaXNAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA>
>    to accompany their article of impeachment, House Democrats wrote: “The
>    president’s remaining term is limited — but a president capable of
>    fomenting a violent insurrection in the Capitol is capable of greater
>    dangers still. He must be removed from office as swiftly as the
>    Constitution allows.”
>
> Mike Pence’s last-minute falling out
>
> The relationship between the president and the vice president has become
> increasingly strained. My colleague Peter Baker, who covers the White
> House, wrote today about a dramatic sequence of confrontations last week
> <https://nl.nytimes.com/f/newsletter/JnHO7kjs0DiaX0gZCLKL2Q~~/AAAAAQA~/RgRh4Mt2P0TjaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cubnl0aW1lcy5jb20vMjAyMS8wMS8xMi91cy9wb2xpdGljcy9taWtlLXBlbmNlLXRydW1wLmh0bWw_Y2FtcGFpZ25faWQ9MTQwJmVtYz1lZGl0X2liXzIwMjEwMTEzJmluc3RhbmNlX2lkPTI1OTQyJm5sPWltcGVhY2htZW50LWJyaWVmaW5nJnJlZ2lfaWQ9NjE4NjkwMTUmc2VnbWVudF9pZD00OTEyNyZ0ZT0xJnVzZXJfaWQ9NDhjNzU3ZGYxZDk2MTZiMTE0MjA5NjNmMGE4ZmI0ZGNXA255dEIKX_12Rv5fwQoW2lISZnFtb3JyaXNAZ21haWwuY29tWAQAAAAA>
> in which Mr. Trump lashed out at Mr. Pence for refusing to go along with
> his attempts to overturn the election.
>
> I asked Peter more about how their relationship collapsed in the waning
> days.
>
> Lawmakers seem to be latching onto the idea that Mr. Trump effectively
> unleashed a mob on his own vice president. Is that how you see it?
>
> That’s the view from Penceworld. Trump sicced the mob on him. He may not
> have imagined Trump supporters were going to march through the Capitol
> chanting, “Hang Mike Pence.” But that was a foreseeable outcome of the
> incendiary language he used against not just his political opponents but
> his own vice president. It boggles the mind.
>
> What kind of drama does the 25th Amendment resolution bring to this?
>
> It puts Trump a little bit on his back legs. Yes, he’s mad at Pence, but
> he has to realize Pence holds his fate in his hands. Pence has a vehicle,
> an instrument, to respond if Trump completely shoves him to the side.
>
> Unlike with his ceremonial role certifying the election, the 25th
> Amendment for Pence is a subjective choice. What he’s been telling people
> is that the mechanism is unwieldy and it might not work the way people
> want. You would have a situation where two people could be claiming to be
> president at the same time. There are factors there that go beyond personal
> loyalty.
>
> What did last Wednesday represent in a Trump-Pence relationship typically
> marked by fealty?
>
> Pence finally met a juncture that he couldn’t finesse. He finally met a
> potential breaking point with Trump he couldn’t get out of. For three years
> and 11 months he had managed to sidestep every possible blowup by saying
> things to make Trump just happy enough to manage Trump’s red line. This was
> finally one he couldn’t do that with.
>
> What does it say about Trump’s presidency that it’s ending in an
> impeachment so convulsive that it’ll carry over to the next president’s
> term?
>
> It’s completely unthinkable and wholly predictable.
> Inside the White House
>
> Mr. Trump’s refusal to condemn his own words was part of a decades-long
> Trump playbook, my colleague Maggie Haberman, who also covers the White
> House, told me today. She referenced a video Mr. Trump recorded last week
> acknowledging there would be a transition of power — the closest he has
> come to a formal concession.
>
> “This is always what he does. This was inevitable,” she said of Mr.
> Trump’s comments today. “When he gives some kind of concession, as he did
> in that video last week, he doesn’t get the praise he thought he would for
> it and worries he looks weak.”
>
> Maggie walked me through two other unusual dynamics to help explain how
> Mr. Trump and the White House are girding for this round of impeachment.
>
> 1. The legal team won’t be the same.
>
> For the last impeachment, Mr. Trump was represented by Pat Cipollone, the
> White House counsel, and two other top White House lawyers. Outside lawyers
> — Jay Sekulow and Marty and Jane Raskin, who defended him in the Mueller
> investigation — also joined the effort. This time around, Mr. Trump won’t
> have any help from that group.
>
> “My sense is that people don’t want to do this,” Maggie said. “There is
> just widespread anger at him over what took place, internally.”
>
> In the last impeachment, Maggie added, “a majority of them genuinely
> believed that there was an overreach even if they were uncomfortable with
> the language of the call,” referring to Mr. Trump’s conversation with
> Ukraine’s president. “Enough of them didn’t believe it was an impeachable
> offense.”
>
> 2. Rudy Giuliani, implicated in the riot, could be Mr. Trump’s lead lawyer
> in a trial.
>
> Rudy Giuliani, who has spent months fanning baseless voter fraud
> accusations, arguably helped lead Mr. Trump to his first impeachment. He
> also played a role in the events leading up to last Wednesday’s riot,
> telling the gathering of Trump supporters that it was time for “trial by
> combat.” That would put him in the unusual position of defending his client
> against charges he arguably influenced with his own actions.
>
> That Mr. Giuliani is still at Mr. Trump’s side is an indication of their
> long history, Maggie said.
>
> “There are a couple of people who will have this grand pass with Donald
> Trump,” she said, “and he’s one of them.”
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