Fwd: NYT on the situation, part three
Mark Kohut
mark.kohut at gmail.com
Sun Feb 13 10:53:38 UTC 2022
But the disclosures are complicated by history. Before the United States’
invasion of Iraq in 2003, the Bush administration released intelligence
that officials said justified pre-emptive action, including purported
intercepts
<https://www.nytimes.com/2003/02/06/world/threats-responses-powell-s-address-presenting-deeply-troubling-evidence-iraq.html>
of Iraqi military conversations, photos of mobile biological weapons labs
and statements accusing Baghdad of building a fleet of drones to launch a
chemical attack
<https://georgewbush-whitehouse.archives.gov/news/releases/2002/10/20021007-8.html>
on the United States. The material was all wrong, reliant on sources who
lied, incorrect interpretations of Iraq’s actions and senior officials who
looked at raw intelligence and saw what they wanted to see.
(I have to stop the cutting and pasting when pictures appear)
---------- Forwarded message ---------
From: Mark Kohut <mark.kohut at gmail.com>
Date: Sun, Feb 13, 2022 at 5:51 AM
Subject: Fwd: NYT on the situation, part two
To: pynchon -l <pynchon-l at waste.org>
It is an unusual gambit, in part because Mr. Biden has repeatedly made
clear he has no intention of sending U.S. troops to defend Ukraine. In
effect, the administration is warning the world of an urgent threat, not to
make the case for a war but to try to prevent one.
The hope is that disclosing Mr. Putin’s plans will disrupt them, perhaps
delaying an invasion and buying more time for diplomacy, or even giving Mr.
Putin a chance to reconsider the political, economic and human costs of an
invasion.
At the same time, Biden administration officials said they had a narrower
and more realistic goal: They want to make it more difficult for Mr. Putin
to justify an invasion with lies, undercutting his standing on the global
stage and building support for a tougher response.
Intelligence agencies, prodded by the White House, have declassified
information, which in turn has been briefed to Congress, shared with
reporters and discussed by Pentagon and State Department spokesmen.
---------- Forwarded message ---------
From: Mark Kohut <mark.kohut at gmail.com>
Date: Sun, Feb 13, 2022 at 5:49 AM
Subject: NYT on the situation, part one
To: pynchon -l <pynchon-l at waste.org>
U.S. Battles Putin by Disclosing His Next Possible Moves
Declassified information is part of a campaign to complicate what officials
say are Russia’s plans to invade Ukraine.
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[image: Julian E. Barnes]
<https://www.nytimes.com/by/julian-e-barnes>[image:
Helene Cooper] <https://www.nytimes.com/by/helene-cooper>
By Julian E. Barnes <https://www.nytimes.com/by/julian-e-barnes> and Helene
Cooper <https://www.nytimes.com/by/helene-cooper>
Feb. 12, 2022
WASHINGTON — After decades of getting schooled in information warfare by
President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia, the United States is trying to beat
the master at his own game.
In recent weeks, the Biden administration has detailed the movement of
Russian special operation forces to Ukraine’s borders,
<https://www.nytimes.com/2022/01/29/world/europe/russia-troops-belarus-border-ukraine.html>
exposed a Russian plan to create a video of a faked atrocity
<https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/03/us/politics/russia-ukraine-invasion-pretext.html>
as a pretext for an invasion, outlined Moscow’s war plans, warned that
an invasion
<https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/05/us/politics/russia-ukraine-invasion.html>
would result in possibly thousands of deaths and hinted that Russian
officers had doubts about Mr. Putin.
Then, on Friday, Jake Sullivan, President Biden’s national security
adviser, told reporters at the White House that the United States was
seeing signs of Russian escalation and that there was a “credible prospect”
of immediate military action. Other officials said the announcement was
prompted by new intelligence that signaled an invasion could begin as soon
as Wednesday.
All told, the extraordinary series of disclosures — unfolding almost as
quickly as information is collected and assessed — has amounted to one of
the most aggressive releases of intelligence by the United States since the
Cuban missile crisis, current and former officials say.
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