(np) The Future of Jihadism in Europe

[Protomen]

Here in Europe, I'm still finding this verbiage hilarious... beyond satire, this it manages one way or another.


-------- Original Message --------
Subject: Re: (np) The Future of Jihadism in Europe
Local Time: 22 décembre 2016 11:12 AM
UTC Time: 22 décembre 2016 10:12
From: lorentzen at hotmail.de
To: pynchon -l <pynchon-l at waste.org>




Here in Europe we don't feel like "satirizing" the issue these days ... Many things will change profoundly. Like it or not. History is here again! And Hegghammer's article is a gem.


Am 22.12.2016 um 10:30 schrieb John "I know nothing about the social sciences but like to comment on it" Bailey:
"economically underperforming Muslim youth" "available jihadi entrepreneurs" "operational freedom for clandestine actors" Is there any novelist satirising the language of professional neoliberal terrorism commentary today? We're in old DeLillo territory here. But writing on terrorism is increasingly framed in economic terms, as is most well-shared writing online. On Thu, Dec 22, 2016 at 8:09 PM, Kai Frederik Lorentzen [<lorentzen at hotmail.de>](mailto:lorentzen at hotmail.de) wrote:
Thomas Hegghammer:
... If the jihadi radicalization problem in Europe does indeed get worse, it may be worth considering radical new approaches, both of the soft and the hard kind ... <
http://www.terrorismanalysts.com/pt/index.php/pot/article/view/566/html This article presents a ten-year forecast for jihadism in Europe. Despite reaching historically high levels in recent years, violent Islamist activity in Europe may increase further over the long term due to four macro-trends: 1) expected growth in the number of economically underperforming Muslim youth, 2) expected growth in the number of available jihadi entrepreneurs, 3) persistent conflict in the Muslim world, and 4) continued operational freedom for clandestine actors on the Internet. Over the next decade, the jihadi attack plot frequency in Europe may follow a fluctuating curve with progressively higher peaks. Many things can undercut the trends and lead to a less ominous outcome, but the scenario is sufficiently likely to merit attention from policymakers.
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