(np) The Future of Jihadism in Europe

[ish mailian]

The jibe was not at Europeans who can't stomach a satire of the state
of affairs and/or recent events, but at those who describe the current
state and the future with ridiculous terms, neo-liberal economic terms
such as the utterly ridiculous description of veteran jihadist who
recruit youngsters as entrepreneurs. That said, if the weak economics
are what are driving the violence up, there is no solution in Europe.
For nothing, it seems, can make the European economy grow. Nothing
other than Germany, but Germany doesn't want growth so....


On Thu, Dec 22, 2016 at 5:12 AM, Kai Frederik Lorentzen
<lorentzen at hotmail.de> wrote:
>
> Here in Europe we don't feel like "satirizing" the issue these days ... Many
> things will change profoundly. Like it or not.  History is here again! And
> Hegghammer's article is a gem.
>
>
> Am 22.12.2016 um 10:30 schrieb John "I know nothing about the social
> sciences but like to comment on it" Bailey:
>
> "economically underperforming Muslim youth"
> "available jihadi entrepreneurs"
> "operational freedom for clandestine actors"
> Is there any novelist satirising the language of professional
> neoliberal terrorism commentary today? We're in old DeLillo territory
> here. But writing on terrorism is increasingly framed in economic
> terms, as is most well-shared writing online.
>
> On Thu, Dec 22, 2016 at 8:09 PM, Kai Frederik Lorentzen
> <lorentzen at hotmail.de> wrote:
>
> Thomas Hegghammer:
>
> ... If the jihadi radicalization problem in Europe does indeed get worse,
> it may be worth considering radical new approaches, both of the soft and the
> hard kind ... <
>
> http://www.terrorismanalysts.com/pt/index.php/pot/article/view/566/html
>
> This article presents a ten-year forecast for jihadism in Europe. Despite
> reaching historically high levels in recent years, violent Islamist activity
> in Europe may increase further over the long term due to four macro-trends:
> 1) expected growth in the number of economically underperforming Muslim
> youth, 2) expected growth in the number of available jihadi entrepreneurs,
> 3) persistent conflict in the Muslim world, and 4) continued operational
> freedom for clandestine actors on the Internet. Over the next decade, the
> jihadi attack plot frequency in Europe may follow a fluctuating curve with
> progressively higher peaks. Many things can undercut the trends and lead to
> a less ominous outcome, but the scenario is sufficiently likely to merit
> attention from policymakers.
>
>
> .
>
>
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