NP; looks like the Dem Primary is kinda like Iceland Sparring.....

Henry scuffling at gmail.com
Wed Mar 5 10:58:20 CST 2008


" Surprise, surprise." 

"In addition, the gender gap is plenty strong among Republicans and for every Republican man who says he'll vote for Obama there's a Republican woman who actually will vote for Hillary."

There are fewer Republican women who will cross party lines to vote for a woman, Hillary C, than Democrats who will cross to vote for the white man, McCain.  And, if I may insist on repeating myself, if she were to get the nomination, Hillary would bring out more Republican votes against her than the small percentage of feminist Republicans who would cross over.  Barack O wouldn't get more than a few black cross-overs, but he wouldn't be a rallying point for a Republican landslide.

A vote for Hillary is a vote for Ralph.  Vote with you intellect, not with your heart or whatever (not that Barack O is undeserving of love).  My ex, though she's moved to Vancouver, probably voted for Hillary in the primaries.  She'd vote for any Dem woman (and maybe even a "moderate" Rep woman) over any Dem man, never mind electability.  Think about it.  Votes are too important to throw away.  Don't feed your enemies!

HENRY MU
Information, Media, and Technology Consultant

http://www.urdomain.us/scuffling.htm  

-----Original Message-----
From: Laura

Surprise, surprise.  The men on the list are more likely to support Obama, while we women are more likely to support Hillary.

Sure, Obama's got the black vote and the affluent liberal vote sewn up.  So did Gore and Kerry.  But he showed last night that he couldn't win over white working class and Hispanic voters (neither could Gore or Kerry).  Hillary has the best chance of winning over these crucial voters during the general election.  There's a lot of noise about the Indy and liberal Republican men who plan to vote for Obama (or who at least say they'll vote for him).  They may think differently when the Rove machine starts screeching (incorrectly) about what a commie liberal Obama is.  In the privacy of the voting booth, these so-called Republican swing voters are likely to vote for McCain.

Obviously, there's been a whole Hillary-bashing industry and religion going strong for 15 years.  Yet in the midst of this virulence, Hillary was able to win over the Republican voters of upstate NY.  She ran for re-election virtually unopposed among these people.  She did this by doing her homework -- visiting their small towns again and again and trying to deliver on modest promises where she could.  In addition, the gender gap is plenty strong among Republicans and for every Republican man who says he'll vote for Obama there's a Republican woman who actually will vote for Hillary.

The gender gap among progressive white men and women is disturbing to me (for example, the Seattle city council couldn't endorse a candidate because they were evenly split: women for Hillary, men for Obama.  It would be nice if some of the progressive men would do some soul-searching about why this gap exists.

Laura





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